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QGIS plugin, 2026 (version 2.0 in development)

Wildfire Analysis Toolkit

A QGIS plugin that goes from a fire perimeter and dates to calibrated satellite imagery, MTBS-style burn severity, area summaries, a map and a report.

Post-fire false-color satellite image of the Dragon Bravo Fire: the burn scar in red-brown against green forest, with the burned area outlined

Post-fire false color (shortwave infrared, near-infrared, red), October 2025: burned ground shows red-brown, unburned forest green.

The toolkit's burn severity classes for the same area: large red high-severity patches in the center of the burn, yellow moderate and aquamarine low toward the edges

The toolkit's burn severity classes for the same area: red high, yellow moderate, aquamarine low, dark green unburned to low.

The 2025 Dragon Bravo Fire on the Grand Canyon's North Rim, from NASA HLS imagery. Black line: the burned-area boundary.

The toolkit started as a single Processing script. It was built to compare the 2025 Dragon Bravo Fire on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park with the Bright Angel Creek watershed inside it, and it grew into a full fire analysis pipeline modeled on the USGS/USFS MTBS QGIS Fire Mapping Tool.

The pipeline

  1. Imagery: suggests pre- and post-fire image pairs using MTBS rules, then fetches calibrated, cloud-masked NBR for only the area of interest. Sources are NASA HLS, Microsoft Planetary Computer (Landsat back to 1982, Sentinel-2) or locally downloaded scenes.
  2. Severity: builds dNBR, RdNBR and RBR, measures the unburned offset in a ring outside the fire, can draft a burned-area perimeter when none exists, and classifies into MTBS thematic classes with given or estimated thresholds.
  3. Summary and map: percent, hectares and acres per class for the fire and any sub-areas, an HTML report, and an A4 PDF map layout.

One dialog, Burn severity (whole pipeline), runs it all in about two minutes. It can also read fire names and dates directly from NIFC/WFIGS interagency perimeters.

Validation

Checked against the official maps. Given the same images, perimeters and thresholds as MTBS, the federal burn-severity program, the toolkit reproduces MTBS’s severity classes with substantial agreement: an average Cohen’s kappa of 0.78, where 1 is perfect and 0 is chance.

A validation harness reruns the pipeline on published MTBS fires using MTBS’s own dates, perimeters and thresholds, then compares the classes pixel by pixel. Drafted perimeters reach a mean IoU of 0.78 against MTBS perimeters.

Why it matters

The summary tool alone replaces about a dozen manual GIS steps. And because the toolkit calibrates every scene from its own metadata (Landsat scale factors, Sentinel-2 offsets), the results don’t depend on anyone remembering to apply them by hand.

Built only on QGIS’s own Processing framework, GDAL and numpy, with no extra installs. Tested on QGIS 3.44 and 4.2.

How it runs

Give the pipeline a fire perimeter and dates; it picks the satellite images, builds the burn-severity layers, loads them into QGIS styled, and writes a report and a print-ready map.

The Burn severity (whole pipeline) dialog in QGIS filled in for the Dragon Bravo Fire, with a help panel listing the pipeline steps
Set upOne dialog: the fire perimeter (here from the WFIGS interagency perimeters), name, dates and assessment type.
QGIS showing the Dragon Bravo Fire output layers in the Layers panel and the burn-severity classes on the map
Results in QGISSeverity classes, dNBR, RdNBR, RBR, post-fire reflectance and pre/post NBR load styled in one group.
The burn severity report for the Dragon Bravo Fire, with the fire record table and severity percentages by class
ReportFire record from WFIGS, images, calibration, thresholds and the severity breakdown, in one HTML report.
A4 burn severity map of the Dragon Bravo Fire produced by the toolkit
MapAn A4 severity map with legend, scale bar, summary table and a note of the images and thresholds.

From satellite to severity

How burn severity is measured, step by step, for the Dragon Bravo Fire. The Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR) is high for healthy vegetation and drops where fire burned; the difference before and after (dNBR) shows how severely.

Pre-fire Normalized Burn Ratio for the Dragon Bravo area, bright over forest
Pre-fire NBROctober 2024: healthy forest is bright.
Post-fire Normalized Burn Ratio, dark across the burned area
Post-fire NBROctober 2025: the burned area turns dark.
Differenced Normalized Burn Ratio, red where the change was greatest
dNBRPre minus post: the bigger the drop, the redder.
MTBS burn severity classes for the Dragon Bravo Fire
Severity classesdNBR classified into MTBS classes: low, moderate and high.

A growing season later

The toolkit runs two kinds of assessment, as MTBS does: one soon after the fire, and an extended one in the next growing season, when the landscape’s response is clearer.

Initial burn severity assessment of the Dragon Bravo Fire, with large areas of high severity
Initial assessmentPost-fire image September 15, 2025.
Extended burn severity assessment of the Dragon Bravo Fire a growing season later, with more moderate and low severity
Extended assessmentPost-fire image June 30, 2026: more of the fire maps as moderate or low.

One tool, many fires

The same pipeline, run on fires across Arizona, Utah and Colorado from 2018 to 2026. Each map shows the MTBS severity classes inside the burned area.

Burn severity map of the 2020 Mangum Fire in Arizona
Mangum Fire, Arizona, 202071,448 acres reported.
Burn severity map of the 2025 White Sage Fire in Arizona
White Sage Fire, Arizona, 202558,985 acres reported.
Burn severity map of the 2026 Babylon Fire in Utah
Babylon Fire, Utah, 2026107,189 acres reported. White patches are clouds (non-mapping area).
Burn severity map of the 2026 Ferris Fire in Colorado
Ferris Fire, Colorado, 202664,881 acres reported.
Burn severity map of the 2026 Gold Mountain Fire in Colorado
Gold Mountain Fire, Colorado, 202639,747 acres reported.
Burn severity map of the 2018 416 Fire in Colorado
416 Fire, Colorado, 2018Burned area drafted from dNBR. White patches are clouds.
Burn severity map of the small 2025 Elkhorn Fire in Colorado
Elkhorn Fire, Colorado, 2025298 acres reported, small enough that the 30 m pixels show.
Burn severity map of the 2025 Dragon Bravo Fire in Arizona
Dragon Bravo Fire, Arizona, 2025145,504 acres reported.

Maps

Burn severity map of the Dragon Bravo Fire, extended assessment
Dragon Bravo Fire, 2025: extended assessmentNext-growing-season image pair.
Burn severity map of the Dragon Bravo test area
Dragon Bravo test area with Bright Angel watershedHLS imagery, thresholds estimated from nearby MTBS fires.
Bar chart comparing burn severity classes for the fire and the Bright Angel watershed
Burn severity by zonePercent of burned area per class, fire vs. watershed.